The fear factor is now hurting Trump
Significantly more swing-state voters view Trump as a “threat to the country” than Harris. It wasn’t always thus.
By Aaron BlakeBiden is suddenly seeing his best polls in years
Precisely why is a valid question, and there are a number of possibilities. But if it holds up, it could undercut a key Trump campaign strategy.
By Aaron BlakeThe 2 key states that could decide the 2024 election
Georgia and Pennsylvania are emerging as the central battlegrounds, for now. A look at the electoral college math shows why.
By Aaron Blake3 takeaways from Kamala Harris and Tim Walz’s first major interview
Harris addressed her changed positions obliquely and walked a very fine line on trying to run as a “change” candidate.
By Aaron BlakeRFK Jr. is stuck on 3 swing-state ballots. That’s a headache for Trump.
North Carolina joins Michigan and Wisconsin in saying they can’t remove Kennedy’s name — and thickening the 2024 plot.
By Aaron BlakeDemocratic enthusiasm is at Obama 2008 levels. Here’s why.
In fact, polls suggest Democrats might even be more “fired up” and “ready to go” vote for Vice President Kamala Harris.
By Aaron BlakeDid Trump’s campaign break the law at Arlington National Cemetery?
The cemetery and some experts suggest it was; here’s what Trump did, and what the law says.
By Aaron BlakeTrump’s cemetery clash ups the ante on politicizing military, memorials
Trump has flouted the dividing line between politics and the military before. Even in that context, though, this is different.
By Aaron BlakeWhy Biden isn’t dragging down Harris
The GOP is apoplectic that Biden’s liabilities on the border, the economy and the Afghanistan withdrawal aren’t hurting her more. It might be because strong majorities of Americans don’t think she played a central role.
By Aaron BlakeRFK Jr.’s exit pushes the 2024 spoiler effect to the left
Third-party and independent candidates are expected to get relatively small numbers of votes. But they’re likely to come at Vice President Kamala Harris’s expense.
By Aaron BlakeDonald Trump is not exactly Nostradamus
Trump increasingly paints a hellscape of life under Kamala Harris. He did the same with Biden — saying many of the same things, in fact — and his predictions were flat wrong.
By Aaron BlakeRFK Jr. suspends his campaign — with an appropriately bizarre theory
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. insisted he can somehow still be elected president. Let’s count the holes in his reasoning.
By Aaron Blake‘Tampon Tim’ is looking more like Teflon Tim
Why Republicans’ efforts to ding Democratic VP nominee Tim Walz — efforts based on at least some legitimate material — have fallen flat.
By Aaron BlakeRFK Jr.’s running mate drops the pretense about helping Trump
Nicole Shanahan offered some surprisingly unvarnished comments that played into Democrats’ long-standing allegations.
By Aaron BlakeHarris one-ups Trump on populist plays
Critics have called it a gimmick and even pandering. But if it’s a pander, it would appear to be an effective one.
By Aaron BlakeHow much Kamala Harris could expand the map
A look at the Democratic presidential candidate’s hopes in North Carolina and Florida.
By Aaron Blake5 striking new poll numbers amid Harris’s rise
What we’ve learned about enthusiasm, running mates and down-ballot races in recent days.
By Aaron BlakeRepublicans practically beg Trump to change it up. He’s not listening.
Calls for more policy, less crowd-size talk and fewer insults have gone unheeded. Donald Trump has signaled he won’t change — or can’t.
By Aaron BlakeHarris cuts Trump’s advantages on economy, immigration
Harris runs better than Biden on other issues, too — significantly outpacing the president and expanding Democrats’ edge on abortion.
By Aaron BlakeTim Walz has good numbers so far, despite GOP attacks
It’s early, but polls show Kamala Harris’s running mate, Tim Walz, does well among independents and moderates — a notable contrast to JD Vance.
By Aaron Blake